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Mortgage Industry Discussion of home loans, refinancing and interest rates.

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Old 07-13-2006, 02:29 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Mortgage Pros...?

Okay, all of you mortgage professionals out there, what are your thoughts on the recent increase in rates? I know that here in the Las Vegas real estate market many people are still adjusting, what do you think will happen in the market as a result of the increase?
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Old 07-15-2006, 07:38 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Default There's alawys hope

My two cents is that I'm sure CA is no different when it comes to watching the market soften somewhat. Predictions have declared 2006 to be a "good year" --which when compared to historical home inventory could be considered a little more in the normal range. The predictions also deemed that the end of 2006 would bring a much needed balance between supply and demand, with more stability in price appreciation.
With that said, I carry that predicted hope that by fall we'll start to see an increased activity as rates start to decline, sellers agree to negotiate down and buyers loosen up a little. On a side note, I also think many challenges await to save homeowners from the mess they signed into when little attention was paid to what they could afford in later years when options, and interest/penalties kicked in.
It's going to be interesting and probably anybody's guess, but I don't feel the pattern is too far off from what many say they've seen historically just prior to an election.
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Old 08-01-2006, 10:30 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Default my two cents

I don't think the increase in rates has been that bad. Long term mortgage rates are still very low. My biggest concern is that short term rates are basically the same as long term rates causing a sharp increase in ARM adjustments in the next two years. Most people with ARM's that adjust in the next 18-24 months are looking at 7.25-8% rates. That is going to hurt.
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Old 11-17-2006, 05:40 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Great input, I would also have to agree with you guys. The Las Vegas real estate market is very simiar to the CA one, so I think that we can look to them for the future!
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Old 11-26-2006, 09:44 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Default Mortgage Rates

The increase in mortgage rates has been just a sign of the economy getting healthy. Mortgages as we know them have only really been around for about 60 years. Yes they existed before but not in the way we understand and use them today. So they are a relatively new financial animal.

So you have to look at the cycles since WWII to get a real feel for the market and interest rates. As interest rates rise, housing prices stabilize and then begin to fall. This is so people can afford the payments. As interest rates fall housing prices rise because more people can afford the payments.

The economy works best when interest rates for home mortgages are stable between 7 and 11 percent. People can afford the payments and house prices are not skyrocketing.

The great problem is that extremely low rates that we have seen over the last 5 years have driven housing prices very high. Now we are seeing a slight correction as rates went up. The consumer market has a very short memory. They see low interest rates and think they should always be there. When rates go up and they see great real estate bargains they think the bargains should always be there.

But all things move in a cycle. It is up to us as real estate and mortgage professionals to see the cycles and help people get into the best deals for the cycle we are currently experiencing.

From my own past my first home was bought no money down VA just outside of Washington DC. The interest rate was 15% and we thought we got a bargain and our families thought we were being ripped off. 3 years later we sold this condo for a 60,000 Dollar profit. Of course at the same time our savings were earning 21% in a money market fund.

I believe we are on the verge of another great run. Depending on your area you will begin to see homes move. You just have to use the tools that are available to help your clients achieve their real estate goals.

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Old 01-26-2007, 04:18 PM   #6 (permalink)
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I also agree that we are in for a great year, especially here in the Las Vegas real estate market. With the elections around the corner, I do not think that rates will rise much at all.
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Old 01-19-2008, 12:08 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: Mortgage Pros...?

Rates are at a 2 year low right now!
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